quote:Originally posted by slinky09
You see, I don't get this unfair argument.I categorise it in the let's just bash BAA for the sake of it slot.
No I am not bashing BAA for the sake of it. It is unfair because other than flying out of BAA airport I have no other choice. If there was someone else running LGW and I did not have to put up with stupid people shouting at me in yellow tops and ridiculous short stay parking charges then I would chose LGW over LHR. The point is, at the moment I do not have that choice. Its rather like supermarkets really, where I grew up the only choice of supermarket is Tesco (there are two metro branches, one real branch and a couple of express stores) that is unfair is it not? It does not provide the consumer with any option other than shopping in Tesco.
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So, BAA has owned all three of LHR, LGW and STN yet they are very different airports with different customer profiles which may actually serve their respective markets (with some overlap).
They may well be different but the OFT point is that currently no one else has the opportunity to experience a non run BAA airport. That is unfair on the other airport companies who struggle against the BAA monopoly.
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Aiming for a new LGW to go head to head with LHR is surely a strategy of failure - I'm not sure there is any major city in the world where two airports compete on a par basis - I guess EWR and JFK come close, but the reason there is that Continental really invested in EWR and are the dominant carrier. Is Virgin big enough to do the same at LGW, would LH move all its carriers to LGW? Who else ... ahhh Ryanair / EasyJet [:D].
I was not meaning a direct like with like approach to LHR. That would never work, as we know LHR is heavily reliant on its transit passengers. There are a number of routes lost within the last 2 years that I would imagine another airport operator would have tried a bit harder to keep at LGW. For example the DL JFK service, the American services that were lost heck even the Oman Air service. It is those sort of services that a new operator could attempt to bring in. The new Mexicana service from LGW is a great start. I just cannot believe that LGW's only destiny is as a bigger version of STN/LTN.
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Nor do I see prices really falling, think this, any buyer needs cash, there's not a lot about so they'll have to borrow it. That means debt. Even with low interest rates debt needs funding = landing charges, shops and tight cost management.
I would go one step less than you Slinky. Many potential buyers will not be able to raise the finance in the market at the moment. Many, many firms have seen M+A drop off for this exact reason. That will be one of the main sticking points in deciding who goes in for a bid. I would not be surprised to see some form of Middle Eastern quasi-company coming up with a bid.